{"id":331,"date":"2016-02-22T14:44:08","date_gmt":"2016-02-22T14:44:08","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.2link.ca\/bugetfamilial\/?p=331"},"modified":"2016-02-22T14:44:08","modified_gmt":"2016-02-22T14:44:08","slug":"pregatirea-pentru-criza","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.2link.ca\/bugetfamilial\/2016\/02\/22\/pregatirea-pentru-criza\/","title":{"rendered":"Preg\u0103tirea pentru CRIZ\u0102"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"fcbkbttn_buttons_block\" id=\"fcbkbttn_left\"><div class=\"fcbkbttn_like \"><fb:like href=\"http:\/\/www.2link.ca\/bugetfamilial\/2016\/02\/22\/pregatirea-pentru-criza\/\" action=\"like\" colorscheme=\"light\" layout=\"standard\"  width=\"225px\" size=\"small\"><\/fb:like><\/div><div class=\"fb-share-button  \" data-href=\"http:\/\/www.2link.ca\/bugetfamilial\/2016\/02\/22\/pregatirea-pentru-criza\/\" data-type=\"button_count\" data-size=\"small\"><\/div><\/div><p>Nu este nevoie s\u0103 fim anali\u0219ti\u00a0de frunte a situa\u021biei economice \u0219i politice mondiale ca s\u0103 realiz\u0103m c\u0103 st\u0103m pe o funda\u021bie foarte, foarte \u0219ubred\u0103. Economia Chinei se r\u0103ce\u0219te; petrolul a pierdut 3\/4 din pre\u021b; Trezoreria US a m\u0103rit ratele dob\u00e2nzilor de la 0 la 0.25% \u0219i pia\u021ba, adic\u021bionat\u0103 de bani gratis, s-a cutremurat; EBC \u00a0(Banca Central\u0103 European\u0103), cump\u0103r\u0103 bonduri de guvern \u0219i ale b\u0103ncilor \u00eencerc\u00e2nd s\u0103 stabilizeze ceva ce alunec\u0103 la vale &#8211; f\u0103c\u00e2nd aceasta penalizeaz\u0103 economiile \u0219i \u00eencurajeaz\u0103 un consum de\u0219\u0103n\u021bat; banii investitorilor fug din Asia \u00een Europa, din Europa \u00een US. C\u00e2t despre politic\u0103? UK a ob\u021binut tratament preferen\u021bial \u00een UE, Fran\u021ba \u0219i Germania, cu culturile lor diametral opuse, sunt \u00een disensiune despre cum arat\u0103 viitorul UE. Cump\u0103rarea ECB ne-a f\u0103cut s\u0103 uit\u0103m de economiile g\u0103unoase ale Greciei, Italiei, Spaniei&#8230; dar nimic nu s-a \u00eendreptat \u00een ultimul an.<!--more--><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_333\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-333\" style=\"width: 300px\" class=\"wp-caption alignleft\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.2link.ca\/bugetfamilial\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/02\/don-t-panic-button.png\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-333\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-333\" src=\"http:\/\/www.2link.ca\/bugetfamilial\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/02\/don-t-panic-button-300x225.png\" alt=\"Oamenii modera\u021bi \u0219i pruden\u021bi pot str\u0103bate crizele\" width=\"300\" height=\"225\" srcset=\"http:\/\/www.2link.ca\/bugetfamilial\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/02\/don-t-panic-button-300x225.png 300w, http:\/\/www.2link.ca\/bugetfamilial\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/02\/don-t-panic-button.png 700w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-333\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Oamenii modera\u021bi \u0219i pruden\u021bi pot str\u0103bate crizele<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Mult\u0103 lume vorbe\u0219te despre &#8220;criza din 2008&#8221;, cu non\u0219alan\u021ba unui eveniment l\u0103sat \u00een urm\u0103. \u00cen fapt, \u00een ciuda \u00eens\u0103n\u0103to\u0219irii aparente a pie\u021bii p\u00e2n\u0103 spre jum\u0103tatea lui 2015, acea criz\u0103 n-a fost dep\u0103\u0219it\u0103 &#8211; ci doar\u00a0simptomele ei au fost mascate cu bani ieftini. Banii ieftini, \u00eens\u0103, vin la un cost. \u00cen US, datoriile studen\u021be\u0219ti au trecut de ani buni de 1 trilion $ iar acum \u00eemprumuturile pentru ma\u0219ini\u00a0au trecut de 1 trilion $. Da, citi\u021bi bine &#8211; \u00eemprumuturile pentru acele cutii de metal care ruginesc \u0219i se depreciaz\u0103 imediat ce au ie\u0219it din parcarea dealership-ului au dep\u0103\u0219it 1 TRILION $. De ce? De ce nu? B\u0103ncile iau \u00eemprumuturi ieftine, deseori f\u0103r\u0103 dob\u00e2nd\u0103, \u0219i le paseaz\u0103 consumatorilor care, nes\u0103bui\u021bi, cump\u0103r\u0103 acele ma\u0219ini pe care le-au visat \u0219i nu \u0219i le-au putut permite.<\/p>\n<p>Bine, acum c\u0103 v-am speriat, s\u0103 v\u0103 dau vestea bun\u0103: via\u021ba pe planeta P\u0103m\u00e2nt nu se va sf\u00e2r\u0219i din cauza unei crize economice, indiferent de c\u00e2t de ad\u00e2nc\u0103 va fi aceasta. Ce \u0219i cum \u0219i c\u00e2t va fi este imposibil de calculat \u00een aceast\u0103 economie-domino (fiecare economie se bazeaz\u0103 pe altele \u00eentr-o interdependen\u021b\u0103 neregularizat\u0103),\u00a0dar, \u00a0cei precau\u021bi se pot pozi\u021biona mai bine pentru a \u00eenfrunta \u0219i, de ce nu?, a profita financiar de aceast\u0103 criz\u0103.<\/p>\n<p>Ce putem face ca s\u0103 ne protej\u0103m? Re\u00eentoarcerea la bunul-sim\u021b \u0219i la via\u021ba de baz\u0103 e lucrul cel mai important.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Reducerea \u0219i eliminarea \u00eemprumuturilor<\/strong>.\u00a0\u00cen primul \u0219i \u00een primul r\u00e2nd trebuie mic\u0219orat\u0103 expunerea la credit mai ales, pentru rom\u00e2ni, la creditele \u00een valut\u0103. Repet \u0219i o voi repeta p\u00e2n\u0103 va ajunge la urechile\u00a0rom\u00e2nilor &#8211; <strong>dac\u0103 nu sunte\u021bi pl\u0103ti\u021bi \u00een euro, nu face\u021bi credite \u00een euro<\/strong>! Dac\u0103 le ave\u021bi, str\u00e2nge\u021bi cureaua \u0219i pl\u0103ti\u021bi-le c\u00e2t de repede este posibil \u0219i nu mai contracta\u021bi altele. Am\u00e2na\u021bi \u00eenlocuirea\u00a0ma\u0219inii, am\u00e2na\u021bi excursiile exotice &#8211; da, o via\u021b\u0103 are omul&#8230;\u00a0dar\u00a0nu poate m\u00e2nca amintirile din Monte Carlo.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Proteja\u021bi-v\u0103 economiile<\/strong>. Infla\u021bia este, \u00een timp de criz\u0103, cel mai tic\u0103los factor care atac\u0103 venitul cet\u0103\u021beanului. Love\u0219te, mai ales, pe cei care tr\u0103iesc dintr-un venit fix &#8211; pensionarii\u00a0de orice fel.\u00a0Lefegii pot for\u021ba m\u00e2na prin greve pentru m\u0103rirea salariilor ca s\u0103 \u021bin\u0103 c\u00e2t de c\u00e2t pasul cu infla\u021bia dar\u00a0pensiile, de fiecare dat\u0103, r\u0103m\u00e2n tot mai \u00een urm\u0103 fa\u021b\u0103 de costul vie\u021bii. Cum s\u0103 v\u0103 proteja\u021bi economiile? Toate bancnotele principale ale lumii, cele din &#8220;co\u0219ni\u021ba FMI&#8221; sunt \u00een c\u0103dere liber\u0103 &#8211; unele cad mai repede dec\u00e2t altele. Dac\u0103 acum 1 an dolarul canadian era 1.06-1.08 la dolarul american, acum este \u00eentre 1.39 \u0219i 1.41 &#8211; \u0219i nu \u0219tim dac\u0103 se va opri aici. Cu alte cuvinte, de\u0219i am acela\u0219i salar, am pierdut peste 30% din \u00a0puterea de cump\u0103rare. Depozitele bancare pl\u0103tesc dob\u00e2nzi penibile (i.e. 0.8% \u00een Euro) &#8211; din cauza sus\u021binerii ECB care \u021bine dob\u00e2nda central\u0103 aproape de 0. O dat\u0103 cu infla\u021bia vor cre\u0219te \u0219i acestea dar niciodat\u0103 suficient ca s\u0103 acopere pierderile. A\u0219a c\u0103 banii, cu excep\u021bia unor sume de urgen\u021b\u0103, trebuie consolida\u021bi \u00een valori care se vor aprecia. Iat\u0103 c\u00e2teva idei cu precizarea &#8220;<em>nu pune\u021bi toate ou\u0103le \u00een acela\u0219i co\u0219<\/em>&#8221;<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>metale pre\u021bioase<\/strong> &#8211; pre\u021bul metalelor pre\u021bioase\u00a0n-a mai fost at\u00e2t de jos din 2009. Platina este mai ieftin\u0103 dec\u00e2t aurul. Nu v\u0103 orienta\u021bi spre bijuterii sau monezi &#8211; acolo se pl\u0103te\u0219te lucr\u0103tura \u0219i c\u00e2t de colec\u021bionabile sunt (\u00een cazul monezilor). Lingourile sunt cele mai bune. Nu, nu cred c\u0103 vorbesc cu Rockefeller-i. De la cele mai multe b\u0103nci din Rom\u00e2nia pute\u021bi cump\u0103ra lingouri de la 2g \u00een sus. Un lingou de 10g de aur, puritate 24K se poate achizi\u021biona de la BCR cu 1824 RON. 1 uncie (31.1g) de platin\u0103 poate fi achizi\u021bionat\u0103 la 1091 Eu de <a href=\"http:\/\/www.golddirect.com\/ro\/produse\/platina-paladiu-rodiu.html\">aici<\/a>.<\/li>\n<li><strong>investi\u021bi<\/strong>. Probabil c\u0103 ve\u021bi spune c\u0103 sunt dement dac\u0103 v\u0103 recomand s\u0103 investi\u021bi \u00eentr-o pia\u021b\u0103 care st\u0103 s\u0103 cad\u0103. Nimeni nu poate\u00a0ghici pia\u021ba, nu pe termen lung &#8211; poate o &#8220;lovitur\u0103&#8221; ici \u0219i colo. Un fond mutual bine g\u00e2ndit acoper\u0103\u00a0100-200-300 de companii &#8211; este greu de crezut c\u0103 toate vor da faliment. O parte se vor duce h\u0103isa dar cele mai multe vor supravie\u021bui \u0219i, dac\u0103 nu panica\u021bi \u0219i vinde\u021bi la bulib\u0103\u0219eal\u0103, \u00een termen lung ve\u021bi recupera totul \u0219i profit mare pe deasupra. Chiar \u0219i \u00een criz\u0103, oamenii vor avea nevoie de m\u00e2ncare, de produse de baz\u0103 &#8211; past\u0103 de din\u021bi, h\u00e2rtie igienic\u0103 etc. Evident, ceea ce investi\u021bi este pe termen lung &#8211;\u00a0numai bani de care nu ave\u021bi nevoie m\u00e2ine.<\/li>\n<li><strong>cash<\/strong> &#8211; probabil c\u0103 banii vor migra, ini\u021bial, spre US &#8211; deci dolarii americani sunt preferabili. Multe celebrit\u0103\u021bi &#8211; inclusiv familia Kennedy &#8211; \u0219i-au f\u0103cut averile pentru c-au avut bani disponibili atunci c\u00e2nd nimeni nu-i avea \u0219i au cump\u0103rat propriet\u0103\u021bi, afaceri la sume derizorii. Metalele pre\u021bioase, deja sugerate, sunt\u00a0aproape la fel de bune &#8211; men\u021bin valoarea banilor \u0219i pot fi convertite \u00een\u00a0lichidit\u0103\u021bi atunci c\u00e2nd pia\u021ba intr\u0103 \u00een panic\u0103.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>S\u0103 recapitul\u0103m<\/strong>:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Nu panica\u021bi, via\u021ba nu se termin\u0103 doar pentru c\u0103 o vreme va fi str\u00e2ns cu banii.<\/li>\n<li>Cea mai bun\u0103 protec\u021bie este s\u0103 ne minimiz\u0103m expunerea la credite \u0219i dob\u00e2nzi. Trebuie s\u0103 ne concentr\u0103m pe plata datoriilor<\/li>\n<li>Lichidit\u0103\u021bile sunt expuse infla\u021biei &#8211; probabil, \u00een prima faz\u0103 USD-ul se va aprecia (dar nu va dura foarte mult p\u00e2n\u0103 o va lua la vale \u0219i acesta)<\/li>\n<li>Cine are lichidit\u0103\u021bi (sau lucruri u\u0219or transformabile \u00een lichidit\u0103\u021bi) este rege\/regin\u0103 la timp de criz\u0103.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<div class=\"fcbkbttn_buttons_block\" id=\"fcbkbttn_left\"><div class=\"fcbkbttn_like \"><fb:like href=\"http:\/\/www.2link.ca\/bugetfamilial\/2016\/02\/22\/pregatirea-pentru-criza\/\" action=\"like\" colorscheme=\"light\" layout=\"standard\"  width=\"225px\" size=\"small\"><\/fb:like><\/div><div class=\"fb-share-button  \" data-href=\"http:\/\/www.2link.ca\/bugetfamilial\/2016\/02\/22\/pregatirea-pentru-criza\/\" data-type=\"button_count\" data-size=\"small\"><\/div><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Nu este nevoie s\u0103 fim anali\u0219ti\u00a0de frunte a situa\u021biei economice \u0219i politice mondiale ca s\u0103 realiz\u0103m c\u0103 st\u0103m pe o funda\u021bie foarte, foarte \u0219ubred\u0103. Economia Chinei se r\u0103ce\u0219te; petrolul a pierdut 3\/4 din pre\u021b; Trezoreria US a m\u0103rit ratele dob\u00e2nzilor de la 0 la 0.25% \u0219i pia\u021ba, adic\u021bionat\u0103 de bani gratis, s-a cutremurat; EBC \u00a0(Banca Central\u0103 European\u0103), cump\u0103r\u0103 bonduri de guvern \u0219i ale b\u0103ncilor \u00eencerc\u00e2nd s\u0103 stabilizeze ceva ce alunec\u0103 la vale &#8211; f\u0103c\u00e2nd aceasta penalizeaz\u0103 economiile \u0219i \u00eencurajeaz\u0103 un consum de\u0219\u0103n\u021bat; banii investitorilor fug din Asia \u00een Europa, din Europa \u00een US. C\u00e2t despre politic\u0103? UK a ob\u021binut tratament preferen\u021bial \u00een UE, Fran\u021ba \u0219i Germania, cu culturile lor diametral opuse, sunt \u00een disensiune despre cum arat\u0103 viitorul UE. Cump\u0103rarea ECB ne-a f\u0103cut s\u0103 uit\u0103m de economiile g\u0103unoase ale Greciei, Italiei, Spaniei&#8230; dar nimic nu s-a \u00eendreptat \u00een ultimul an.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_s2mail":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[342,345,346],"tags":[356,360,412,435,510,551],"class_list":["post-331","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economie","category-macroeconomie","category-note","tag-argint","tag-aur","tag-criza","tag-ecb","tag-platina","tag-trezorerie"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.2link.ca\/bugetfamilial\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/331","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.2link.ca\/bugetfamilial\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.2link.ca\/bugetfamilial\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.2link.ca\/bugetfamilial\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.2link.ca\/bugetfamilial\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=331"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"http:\/\/www.2link.ca\/bugetfamilial\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/331\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":334,"href":"http:\/\/www.2link.ca\/bugetfamilial\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/331\/revisions\/334"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.2link.ca\/bugetfamilial\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=331"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.2link.ca\/bugetfamilial\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=331"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.2link.ca\/bugetfamilial\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=331"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}